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standpoint

Track record Winners and losers, in one table.

Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.

Closed picks
30
Win rate
0%
Avg return
−4.5%
Avg hold
17d

Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear

How these numbers are made

This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.

Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.

Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.

One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.

Read the disclosures

Shape of the record

Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.

  • < -20%11 position
  • -20 to -10%33 positions
  • -10 to 0%2626 positions
  • 0 to 10%00 positions
  • 10 to 20%00 positions
  • 20 to 50%00 positions
  • 50%+00 positions
TickerCompanyEntry dateHeldEntryExitReturn
KKRKKR & CoJan 05, 20268d$134.58$130.12-3.3%
LVSLas Vegas SandsJan 14, 20266d$59.88$58.52-2.3%
ITWIllinois Tool WorksMar 17, 20261d$267.80$260.76-2.6%
TXNTexas InstrumentsMar 10, 202610d$197.49$187.14-5.2%
VTRSViatrisMar 18, 20262d$13.73$13.20-3.9%
CHRWCH RobinsonMar 25, 20261d$169.66$167.63-1.2%
DOVDoverMar 17, 20269d$213.86$209.18-2.2%
FTVFortiveMar 18, 20269d$54.84$53.92-1.7%
LYVLive Nation EntertainmentMar 26, 20261d$150.06$145.73-2.9%
ONON SemiconductorMar 16, 202611d$59.87$58.38-2.5%
PLDPrologisMar 24, 20263d$130.34$128.89-1.1%
AMGNAmgenMar 26, 202612d$353.25$339.99-3.8%
DLTRDollar TreeMar 17, 202621d$111.81$106.47-4.8%
LHLabcorp HoldingsMar 18, 202623d$265.80$260.93-1.8%
MCKMcKessonApr 01, 202619d$872.22$858.69-1.6%
KEYKeyCorpAug 03, 202617d$22.80$21.97-3.6%
EIXEdison InternationalAug 12, 202619d$68.96$53.98-21.7%
METAMeta PlatformsAug 04, 202628d$592.47$578.54-2.4%
HBANHuntington BancsharesAug 04, 202628d$17.63$16.42-6.9%
CIENCienaAug 27, 20265d$401.56$360.33-10.3%
WMWaste ManagementAug 11, 202629d$228.17$216.44-5.1%
DDominion EnergyAug 12, 202629d$68.06$65.05-4.4%
LENLennarAug 13, 202628d$87.40$77.90-10.9%
EXCExelonAug 13, 202629d$45.42$43.16-5.0%
CTASCintasAug 13, 202629d$203.63$201.50-1.0%
FFord MotorAug 17, 202629d$14.14$13.50-4.5%
LVSLas Vegas SandsAug 18, 202629d$45.65$41.06-10.1%
TKOTKO Group HoldingsAug 18, 202629d$193.94$192.43-0.8%
LLoewsAug 24, 202629d$111.56$105.91-5.1%
PHParker HannifinAug 27, 202629d$1008.21$978.33-3.0%