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standpoint

Track record Winners and losers, in one table.

Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.

Closed picks
88
Win rate
0%
Avg return
−3.5%
Avg hold
12d

Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear

How these numbers are made

This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.

Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.

Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.

One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.

Read the disclosures

Shape of the record

Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.

  • < -20%11 position
  • -20 to -10%33 positions
  • -10 to 0%8484 positions
  • 0 to 10%00 positions
  • 10 to 20%00 positions
  • 20 to 50%00 positions
  • 50%+00 positions
TickerCompanyEntry dateHeldEntryExitReturn
PHParker HannifinAug 27, 202629d$1008.21$978.33-3.0%
LLoewsAug 24, 202629d$111.56$105.91-5.1%
TKOTKO Group HoldingsAug 18, 202629d$193.94$192.43-0.8%
LVSLas Vegas SandsAug 18, 202629d$45.65$41.06-10.1%
FFord MotorAug 17, 202629d$14.14$13.50-4.5%
CTASCintasAug 13, 202629d$203.63$201.50-1.0%
EXCExelonAug 13, 202629d$45.42$43.16-5.0%
LENLennarAug 13, 202628d$87.40$77.90-10.9%
DDominion EnergyAug 12, 202629d$68.06$65.05-4.4%
WMWaste ManagementAug 11, 202629d$228.17$216.44-5.1%
CIENCienaAug 27, 20265d$401.56$360.33-10.3%
HBANHuntington BancsharesAug 04, 202628d$17.63$16.42-6.9%
METAMeta PlatformsAug 04, 202628d$592.47$578.54-2.4%
EIXEdison InternationalAug 12, 202619d$68.96$53.98-21.7%
KEYKeyCorpAug 03, 202617d$22.80$21.97-3.6%
MCKMcKessonApr 01, 202619d$872.22$858.69-1.6%
LHLabcorp HoldingsMar 18, 202623d$265.80$260.93-1.8%
DLTRDollar TreeMar 17, 202621d$111.81$106.47-4.8%
AMGNAmgenMar 26, 202612d$353.25$339.99-3.8%
PLDPrologisMar 24, 20263d$130.34$128.89-1.1%
ONON SemiconductorMar 16, 202611d$59.87$58.38-2.5%
LYVLive Nation EntertainmentMar 26, 20261d$150.06$145.73-2.9%
FTVFortiveMar 18, 20269d$54.84$53.92-1.7%
DOVDoverMar 17, 20269d$213.86$209.18-2.2%
CHRWCH RobinsonMar 25, 20261d$169.66$167.63-1.2%
VTRSViatrisMar 18, 20262d$13.73$13.20-3.9%
TXNTexas InstrumentsMar 10, 202610d$197.49$187.14-5.2%
ITWIllinois Tool WorksMar 17, 20261d$267.80$260.76-2.6%
LVSLas Vegas SandsJan 14, 20266d$59.88$58.52-2.3%
KKRKKR & CoJan 05, 20268d$134.58$130.12-3.3%
IDXXIdexx LaboratoriesDec 19, 202511d$700.30$681.54-2.7%
DGXQuest DiagnosticsDec 12, 20257d$182.54$176.00-3.6%
BBYBest Buy CoNov 21, 202511d$76.45$74.88-2.1%
DUKDuke EnergyNov 12, 202512d$123.89$122.09-1.5%
MTBM&T BankOct 15, 202520d$185.22$180.92-2.3%
RJFRaymond James FinancialOct 15, 202513d$163.69$159.67-2.5%
SPGIS&P GlobalOct 07, 202510d$481.01$473.17-1.6%
MSIMotorola SolutionsOct 06, 202510d$457.24$437.47-4.3%
HSICHenry ScheinOct 09, 20257d$64.56$61.99-4.0%
GDDYGoDaddyOct 06, 20254d$137.21$130.69-4.8%
DECKDeckers OutdoorOct 03, 20254d$103.04$97.98-4.9%
UDRUDRSep 30, 20256d$37.24$36.02-3.3%
INVHInvitation HomesSep 30, 20253d$29.32$28.64-2.3%
AWKAmerican WaterSep 23, 20259d$137.18$135.57-1.2%
CPAYCorpay IncSep 29, 20251d$295.84$288.01-2.6%
CMCSAComcastSep 26, 20254d$31.72$31.40-1.0%
KOCoca-ColaSep 18, 20258d$66.42$65.64-1.2%
ROPRoper TechnologiesSep 18, 20257d$508.90$493.20-3.1%
PNWPinnacle West CapitalSep 11, 20256d$88.36$86.11-2.5%
GENGen DigitalSep 09, 20253d$29.47$29.12-1.2%
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