Track record Winners and losers, in one table.
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
- Closed picks
- 30
- Win rate
- 0%
- Avg return
- −4.5%
- Avg hold
- 17d
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%11 position
- -20 to -10%33 positions
- -10 to 0%2626 positions
- 0 to 10%00 positions
- 10 to 20%00 positions
- 20 to 50%00 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PH | Parker Hannifin | Aug 27, 2026 | 29d | $1008.21 | $978.33 | -3.0% |
| L | Loews | Aug 24, 2026 | 29d | $111.56 | $105.91 | -5.1% |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings | Aug 18, 2026 | 29d | $193.94 | $192.43 | -0.8% |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | Aug 18, 2026 | 29d | $45.65 | $41.06 | -10.1% |
| F | Ford Motor | Aug 17, 2026 | 29d | $14.14 | $13.50 | -4.5% |
| CTAS | Cintas | Aug 13, 2026 | 29d | $203.63 | $201.50 | -1.0% |
| EXC | Exelon | Aug 13, 2026 | 29d | $45.42 | $43.16 | -5.0% |
| LEN | Lennar | Aug 13, 2026 | 28d | $87.40 | $77.90 | -10.9% |
| D | Dominion Energy | Aug 12, 2026 | 29d | $68.06 | $65.05 | -4.4% |
| WM | Waste Management | Aug 11, 2026 | 29d | $228.17 | $216.44 | -5.1% |
| CIEN | Ciena | Aug 27, 2026 | 5d | $401.56 | $360.33 | -10.3% |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Aug 04, 2026 | 28d | $17.63 | $16.42 | -6.9% |
| META | Meta Platforms | Aug 04, 2026 | 28d | $592.47 | $578.54 | -2.4% |
| EIX | Edison International | Aug 12, 2026 | 19d | $68.96 | $53.98 | -21.7% |
| KEY | KeyCorp | Aug 03, 2026 | 17d | $22.80 | $21.97 | -3.6% |
| MCK | McKesson | Apr 01, 2026 | 19d | $872.22 | $858.69 | -1.6% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings | Mar 18, 2026 | 23d | $265.80 | $260.93 | -1.8% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Mar 17, 2026 | 21d | $111.81 | $106.47 | -4.8% |
| AMGN | Amgen | Mar 26, 2026 | 12d | $353.25 | $339.99 | -3.8% |
| PLD | Prologis | Mar 24, 2026 | 3d | $130.34 | $128.89 | -1.1% |
| ON | ON Semiconductor | Mar 16, 2026 | 11d | $59.87 | $58.38 | -2.5% |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | Mar 26, 2026 | 1d | $150.06 | $145.73 | -2.9% |
| FTV | Fortive | Mar 18, 2026 | 9d | $54.84 | $53.92 | -1.7% |
| DOV | Dover | Mar 17, 2026 | 9d | $213.86 | $209.18 | -2.2% |
| CHRW | CH Robinson | Mar 25, 2026 | 1d | $169.66 | $167.63 | -1.2% |
| VTRS | Viatris | Mar 18, 2026 | 2d | $13.73 | $13.20 | -3.9% |
| TXN | Texas Instruments | Mar 10, 2026 | 10d | $197.49 | $187.14 | -5.2% |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | Mar 17, 2026 | 1d | $267.80 | $260.76 | -2.6% |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | Jan 14, 2026 | 6d | $59.88 | $58.52 | -2.3% |
| KKR | KKR & Co | Jan 05, 2026 | 8d | $134.58 | $130.12 | -3.3% |