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standpoint

Track record Winners and losers, in one table.

Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.

Closed picks
68
Win rate
56%
Avg return
+2.8%
Avg hold
18d

Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear

How these numbers are made

This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.

Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.

Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.

One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.

Read the disclosures

Shape of the record

Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.

  • < -20%11 position
  • -20 to -10%33 positions
  • -10 to 0%2626 positions
  • 0 to 10%2929 positions
  • 10 to 20%77 positions
  • 20 to 50%22 positions
  • 50%+00 positions
TickerCompanyEntry dateHeldEntryExitReturn
PHParker HannifinAug 27, 202629d$1008.21$978.33-3.0%
TSLATeslaAug 25, 202629d$351.99$380.12+8.0%
LLoewsAug 24, 202629d$111.56$105.91-5.1%
FFIVF5, Inc.Aug 27, 202626d$409.15$445.58+8.9%
TKOTKO Group HoldingsAug 18, 202629d$193.94$192.43-0.8%
LVSLas Vegas SandsAug 18, 202629d$45.65$41.06-10.1%
WRBW. R. Berkley CorporationAug 17, 202629d$70.58$71.28+1.0%
FFord MotorAug 17, 202629d$14.14$13.50-4.5%
CTASCintasAug 13, 202629d$203.63$201.50-1.0%
EXCExelonAug 13, 202629d$45.42$43.16-5.0%
LENLennarAug 13, 202628d$87.40$77.90-10.9%
DDominion EnergyAug 12, 202629d$68.06$65.05-4.4%
WMWaste ManagementAug 11, 202629d$228.17$216.44-5.1%
CTVACortevaAug 18, 202622d$77.98$86.13+10.5%
CIENCienaAug 27, 20265d$401.56$360.33-10.3%
HBANHuntington BancsharesAug 04, 202628d$17.63$16.42-6.9%
CNCCenteneAug 04, 202628d$64.19$65.23+1.6%
METAMeta PlatformsAug 04, 202628d$592.47$578.54-2.4%
EIXEdison InternationalAug 12, 202619d$68.96$53.98-21.7%
CFCf Industries HoldingsAug 12, 202612d$118.10$128.74+9.0%
ABBVAbbVieAug 12, 20268d$248.17$264.56+6.6%
WBDWarner BrosAug 11, 20269d$27.07$28.27+4.4%
CICignaAug 11, 20269d$271.86$275.73+1.4%
KEYKeyCorpAug 03, 202617d$22.80$21.97-3.6%
PANWPalo Alto NetworksAug 03, 20268d$346.40$383.04+10.6%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb CompanyJul 06, 202628d$56.86$65.47+15.1%
CTVACortevaJul 06, 202624d$85.95$89.34+3.9%
TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationJul 06, 202619d$403.34$419.44+4.0%
TPLTexas Pacific LandApr 14, 202614d$412.40$430.96+4.5%
HSICHenry ScheinMar 23, 202630d$74.46$78.15+5.0%
ORealty IncomeMar 30, 202622d$61.16$64.03+4.7%
IRMIron MountainApr 01, 202620d$100.96$117.81+16.7%
FCXFreeport-McMoRanMar 24, 202628d$56.51$67.56+19.6%
ADIAnalog DevicesMar 18, 202634d$308.65$375.42+21.6%
MCKMcKessonApr 01, 202619d$872.22$858.69-1.6%
CBOECboe Global MarketsMar 31, 202617d$280.85$300.39+7.0%
AMEAmetekMar 24, 202622d$217.04$230.10+6.0%
PNCPNC FinancialMar 17, 202627d$203.85$223.06+9.4%
NEMNewmont MiningMar 25, 202619d$101.54$116.49+14.7%
JBHTJB HuntMar 23, 202621d$202.84$227.62+12.2%
GWWWW GraingerMar 24, 202620d$1065.96$1161.90+9.0%
GLGlobe LifeMar 24, 202620d$138.60$147.56+6.5%
LHLabcorp HoldingsMar 18, 202623d$265.80$260.93-1.8%
DLTRDollar TreeMar 17, 202621d$111.81$106.47-4.8%
AMGNAmgenMar 26, 202612d$353.25$339.99-3.8%
STLDSteel DynamicsMar 24, 202613d$169.67$176.50+4.0%
BKRBaker Hughes CompanyMar 18, 202612d$57.48$60.66+5.5%
PLDPrologisMar 24, 20263d$130.34$128.89-1.1%
ONON SemiconductorMar 16, 202611d$59.87$58.38-2.5%
LYVLive Nation EntertainmentMar 26, 20261d$150.06$145.73-2.9%
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