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standpoint

Track record Winners and losers, in one table.

Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.

Closed picks
140
Win rate
67%
Avg return
+5.0%
Avg hold
14d

Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear

How these numbers are made

This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.

Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.

Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.

One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.

Read the disclosures

Shape of the record

Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.

  • < -20%00 positions
  • -20 to -10%00 positions
  • -10 to 0%4646 positions
  • 0 to 10%6666 positions
  • 10 to 20%2525 positions
  • 20 to 50%33 positions
  • 50%+00 positions
TickerCompanyEntry dateHeldEntryExitReturn
IDXXIdexx LaboratoriesDec 19, 202511d$700.30$681.54-2.7%
DGXQuest DiagnosticsDec 12, 20257d$182.54$176.00-3.6%
TPRTapestryNov 10, 202537d$106.09$122.18+15.2%
BBYBest Buy CoNov 21, 202511d$76.45$74.88-2.1%
DUKDuke EnergyNov 12, 202512d$123.89$122.09-1.5%
ABBVAbbVieNov 06, 202514d$219.09$229.43+4.7%
AFLAFLACOct 31, 202517d$107.18$112.13+4.6%
MTBM&T BankOct 15, 202520d$185.22$180.92-2.3%
FOXFoxOct 21, 20259d$52.46$58.80+12.1%
RJFRaymond James FinancialOct 15, 202513d$163.69$159.67-2.5%
WYNNWynn ResortsOct 17, 20256d$117.81$125.42+6.5%
PSXPhillips 66Oct 15, 20258d$129.54$135.83+4.9%
BKRBaker Hughes CompanyOct 20, 20253d$46.30$48.87+5.6%
PCARPaccarOct 15, 20257d$95.24$99.79+4.8%
DXCMDexcomOct 03, 202519d$67.06$70.69+5.4%
AXPAmerican ExpressOct 14, 20258d$332.81$352.01+5.8%
SPGIS&P GlobalOct 07, 202510d$481.01$473.17-1.6%
MSIMotorola SolutionsOct 06, 202510d$457.24$437.47-4.3%
HSICHenry ScheinOct 09, 20257d$64.56$61.99-4.0%
UALUnited Airlines HoldingsOct 06, 20259d$97.06$104.22+7.4%
GDDYGoDaddyOct 06, 20254d$137.21$130.69-4.8%
JBHTJB HuntSep 25, 202513d$132.41$146.51+10.6%
EXCExelonSep 11, 202526d$43.50$46.80+7.6%
DECKDeckers OutdoorOct 03, 20254d$103.04$97.98-4.9%
AIGAmerican International GroupSep 19, 202518d$76.97$84.03+9.2%
UDRUDRSep 30, 20256d$37.24$36.02-3.3%
TAPMolson CoorsSep 25, 20258d$44.40$46.40+4.5%
INVHInvitation HomesSep 30, 20253d$29.32$28.64-2.3%
BLDRBuilders FirstsourceSep 30, 20253d$121.29$128.57+6.0%
BAXBaxter InternationalSep 30, 20253d$22.77$23.86+4.8%
VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsSep 26, 20256d$385.75$408.89+6.0%
NEENextEra EnergySep 11, 202521d$71.35$78.18+9.6%
MRKMerck & CompanySep 30, 20252d$83.92$89.50+6.7%
AWKAmerican WaterSep 23, 20259d$137.18$135.57-1.2%
CPAYCorpay IncSep 29, 20251d$295.84$288.01-2.6%
CMCSAComcastSep 26, 20254d$31.72$31.40-1.0%
KOCoca-ColaSep 18, 20258d$66.42$65.64-1.2%
CSXCSXSep 08, 202518d$32.45$34.01+4.8%
ROPRoper TechnologiesSep 18, 20257d$508.90$493.20-3.1%
PNWPinnacle West CapitalSep 11, 20256d$88.36$86.11-2.5%
GENGen DigitalSep 09, 20253d$29.47$29.12-1.2%
MPCMarathon PetroleumAug 14, 202528d$162.35$182.24+12.3%
VLOValero EnergyAug 13, 202523d$136.19$156.79+15.1%
SLBSchlumbergerAug 13, 202520d$33.55$35.91+7.0%
PANWPalo Alto NetworksAug 13, 202520d$176.86$190.53+7.7%
FITBFifth Third BancorpAug 07, 202526d$41.18$45.57+10.7%
SWKSSkyworks SolutionsAug 06, 202520d$67.50$75.69+12.1%
MRNAModernaAug 14, 202511d$26.69$25.35-5.0%
LMTLockheed MartinAug 05, 202520d$428.31$447.56+4.5%
HUMHumanaJul 22, 202534d$231.26$297.29+28.6%